Adaptive Economic Operating System

A feedback-controlled market economy designed around human wellbeing, productive freedom, circular resource use and measurable public value.

Solution section

Evidence

The scientific claims this Candidate Solution rests on, and the experiments proposed to test them.

Evidence

The claims below are the specific, falsifiable propositions this Candidate Solution rests on. All are currently untested in the sense that matters here: none has yet been evaluated against a working model or pilot. The first planned experiment — an artificial household-appliance economy — is designed to test the circularity- and control-related claims (1–4) before any real-world fiscal mechanism would be proposed. Claims 5 and 6, on public-value spending and digital-administration cost, will need separate evidence programmes closer to public-service delivery data.

This section intentionally does not assert that adaptive circularity taxation or outcome-based public spending already work. It asserts that they are specific enough to test, and states how.

Scientific Claims

The evidence programme is organised around a set of scientific claims. Each claim is supported by one or more experiments that test specific properties of the proposed market architecture.

Adaptive taxation reduces resource waste

Untested

Adaptive physical-outcome taxation can reduce virgin resource consumption and waste while preserving acceptable household welfare.

Tested by

Artificial Household Appliance Economy

Adaptive policy outperforms fixed policy

Untested

Closed-loop fiscal control can achieve better target tracking under changing conditions than fixed policy settings.

Tested by

Artificial Household Appliance Economy

Circularity incentives change producer behaviour

Untested

Product-level economic signals can incentivise durability, repairability, recycled content and recoverability.

Tested by

Artificial Household Appliance Economy

Distribution-aware control protects vulnerable households

Untested

Environmental and fiscal objectives can potentially be pursued without pushing vulnerable households below acceptable discretionary economic capacity.

Tested by

Artificial Household Appliance Economy

Outcome-based spending improves public value

Untested

Allocating and evaluating public resources according to measurable outcomes can improve public value per unit of expenditure.

No experiment linked to this claim in Enleashed yet.

Digital administration reduces system cost

Untested

Interoperable digital infrastructure and transaction-level automation can reduce public- and private-sector administrative costs.

No experiment linked to this claim in Enleashed yet.